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City AI Impact Profile

Fresno, CA

Fresno, CA metro area. 476,890 workers.

Open the organizer briefPrintable, one to two pages

Cognitive exposure (generative AI)

Work like writing, sorting information, answering questions and handling records.

44

6 points below the US averageBottom fifth of metros for cognitive exposure

Shaded: the middle 80% of metros (43 to 52); each tick above is one metro. The typical metro scores 47, not exactly 50, because 50 is the average US job, not the average metro.

18% of workers are in high-exposure jobs on this measure. US: about 25%.

Physical exposure (robotics and autonomy)

Work like driving, moving goods, running machines and repetitive handling.

52

about the US averageSecond-highest fifth of metros for physical exposure

Shaded: the middle 80% of metros (48 to 56); each tick above is one metro. The typical metro scores 51, not exactly 50, because 50 is the average US job, not the average metro.

30% of workers are in high-exposure jobs on this measure. US: about 25%.

Workers in jobs high on either measure
47%
US: about 49%. Counted once even when a job is high on both.
Share of local pay earned in those jobs
43%
About $12.8 billion a year, out of all pay in the jobs counted here.

Based on 99% of local jobs. The rest are in occupations where the government withholds small counts for privacy, or where no exposure score exists.

Jobs with the most exposed work

Ranked by how many people do the job here and how exposed the work is. Scores are 0 to 100 against all US jobs; 75 or higher counts as high exposure. Concentration compares the job's share of local work with its share nationally: 2.0x means twice as common here.

Occupations with the most exposed work in this metro, by number of workers and exposure.
OccupationMostlyCognitivePhysicalWorkersAverage payConcentration
Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and GreenhouseSOC 45-2092Physical79728,570$36,48035.1x
Home Health and Personal Care AidesSOC 31-1120Cognitive341533,580$35,0002.5x
Fast Food and Counter WorkersSOC 35-3023Physical267112,330$40,1101.0x
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, HandSOC 53-7062Physical3998,050$41,4900.9x
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversSOC 53-3032Physical19968,170$55,9901.3x
Stockers and Order FillersSOC 53-7065Physical29838,850$41,2801.0x
Office Clerks, GeneralSOC 43-9061Cognitive78578,710$48,5301.1x
CashiersSOC 41-2011Physical48689,780$37,7901.0x
Registered NursesSOC 29-1141Cognitive55611,030$126,8801.1x
Retail SalespersonsSOC 41-2031Physical52549,290$39,9800.8x
Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping CleanersSOC 37-2011Physical6815,770$41,5900.8x
Customer Service RepresentativesSOC 43-4051Cognitive97624,550$53,1500.6x
Substitute Teachers, Short-TermSOC 25-3031Cognitive50468,670$72,2205.4x
Packers and Packagers, HandSOC 53-7064Physical91004,320$37,4502.5x
General and Operations ManagersSOC 11-1021Cognitive63456,800$126,9400.6x

Exposure by occupation group

Average exposure of the work in each broad job family, shown separately for each measure. The same group can be high on one and low on the other.

Occupation groupShare of workersExposure index, 0 to 100
Office and Administrative Support10.6% of workers
Cognitive80
Physical46
Healthcare Support9.6% of workers
Cognitive33
Physical20
Transportation and Material Moving9.3% of workers
Cognitive18
Physical88
Educational Instruction and Library8.3% of workers
Cognitive60
Physical35
Food Preparation and Serving Related8.1% of workers
Cognitive24
Physical69
Sales and Related7.2% of workers
Cognitive62
Physical53
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry6.9% of workers
Cognitive9
Physical96
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical5.9% of workers
Cognitive51
Physical19
Management5.1% of workers
Cognitive71
Physical37
Business and Financial Operations4.5% of workers
Cognitive86
Physical29
Production4.1% of workers
Cognitive18
Physical86
Construction and Extraction3.5% of workers
Cognitive14
Physical69
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair3.3% of workers
Cognitive19
Physical42
Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance2.8% of workers
Cognitive9
Physical78
Community and Social Service2.5% of workers
Cognitive64
Physical11
Protective Service2.4% of workers
Cognitive38
Physical37
Personal Care and Service1.8% of workers
Cognitive39
Physical49
Computer and Mathematical1.0% of workers
Cognitive84
Physical49
Life, Physical, and Social Science0.9% of workers
Cognitive72
Physical53
Architecture and Engineering0.9% of workers
Cognitive75
Physical56
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media0.7% of workers
Cognitive64
Physical49
Legal0.6% of workers
Cognitive81
Physical26

What's happening here

Local developments tied to AI and automation, gathered from public reporting. Each one links to its source and shows when it was last checked.

Data centers (3)

  • Existing Fresno data centers are small internet-service facilities

    Operating

    Fresno, CA

    ABC30 reported in February 2026 that Fresno has three data centers, described as small and focused on internet services rather than AI, one of them in a north Fresno industrial park. A Bloomberg analysis cited by Fresnoland in 2025 found no AI data centers in the San Joaquin Valley. A PG&E executive told Reuters in May 2025 that the utility saw proposed developments in the Fresno area, without naming projects.

    Facilities reported
    3

    As of Feb 19, 2026

  • 100 MW AI-optimized data center at Naval Air Station Lemoore (adjacent, Kings County)

    Announced

    NAS Lemoore, Kings County, CA (adjacent to Fresno County)

    In September 2025 Ameresco and the U.S. Navy announced a 100 MW AI-optimized data center on land Ameresco leases from the Department of Defense at NAS Lemoore, with CyrusOne delivering the data center infrastructure and Ameresco building co-located on-site generation as a microgrid. The first phase was expected to be operational by 2027. Construction status was not reported in the sources we opened.

    Mw
    100
    Developer
    Ameresco with CyrusOne; U.S. Navy host
    First phase target
    2,027

    As of Sep 11, 2025

  • Global Stack edge computing proposal at Tulare County Fairgrounds tabled (adjacent, Tulare County)

    Paused

    Tulare County Fairgrounds, Tulare, CA (adjacent to Fresno County)

    Global Stack proposed edge computing infrastructure on the Tulare County Fairgrounds. On July 21, 2026 the fair board tabled the rental agreement after public opposition over whether the project is a data center. Size and power figures were not available in the portion of reporting we could open.

    Developer
    Global Stack

    As of Jul 24, 2026

Employer AI and automation moves (3)

  • Self-driving tractor technology in use on Fresno and Kings county farm

    Operating

    Fresno and Kings counties, CA

    At the October 2026 International Forum for Agricultural Robotics, Kingman Ag co-founder Zach Sheely, who farms in Fresno and Kings counties, showed self-driving tractor technology developed on his farm and said such tractors can run three shifts a day. Vendors said customers use existing crews rather than replacing them, and Sheely said grower adoption is still low. A farmworker advocate quoted in the same report expressed unease about labor-saving robots.

    Shifts per day claimed
    3
    Adoption
    low, per grower quoted

    As of Oct 27, 2026

  • Robotic citrus harvester in field testing at Fresno State

    Announced

    Fresno State, Fresno, CA

    ABC30 reported in February 2026 that a citrus harvesting robot is being tested at Fresno State, framed as saving time and labor costs. Developer, funding, and test results were not stated in the report we opened. Secondary reports (not opened) say industry growers have observed field trials.

    Stage
    field testing

    As of Feb 10, 2026

  • Amazon robotic fulfillment center, southwest Fresno

    Operating

    Southwest Fresno, CA

    Amazon opened an approximately 855,000-square-foot robotic fulfillment center in southwest Fresno in July 2019, with robots moving inventory between stations across four floors and 2,500 associates at opening. Current staffing and any recent automation changes at this site were not found in reporting we could open.

    Sq ft
    855,000
    Associates at opening
    2,500

Policy (6)

  • City of Fresno begins process to prohibit data centers citywide

    Proposed

    City of Fresno, Fresno County, CA

    On Sept. 3, 2026 the Fresno City Council adopted a resolution (File 26-1187, sponsored by Councilmember Nick Richardson) initiating a municipal code text amendment to prohibit data centers in the city; reporting put the vote at 7-0. The vote did not enact a ban. Council direction added notification of councilmembers if an application is filed and coverage of land annexed later. Richardson proposed a 10-year ban; Mayor Jerry Dyer co-sponsored and said his office had been drafting a permanent code preclusion, citing water and power demands and few jobs. The amendment goes through environmental review, the Airport Land Use Commission, and the Planning Commission before a final council vote. The mayor's office said no data center plans exist for Fresno.

    Council vote
    7-0 (Sept. 3, 2026)
    Proposed duration
    10 years (Richardson); permanent code change (Dyer)
    Pending applications
    none reported

    As of Sep 4, 2026

  • PG&E data center demand pipeline and interim Electric Rule 30 for large loads

    Enacted

    PG&E service territory, including Fresno County, CA

    In July 2025 PG&E reported 10 GW of data center demand over ten years, with 17 projects (about 1.5 GW) in final engineering, mostly in the Bay Area and some in the Central Valley and Sacramento. The CPUC approved PG&E's interim Electric Rule 30, which gives faster transmission-level connections to applicants that pay for needed transmission upfront; a permanent rule was still pending. In February 2026 a PG&E spokesperson told ABC30 the utility works with operators so they pay for new infrastructure before it is built.

    Pge data center pipeline (GW)
    10
    Final engineering (GW)
    1.5
    Rule 30
    interim approved; final pending

    As of Jul 31, 2025

  • California data center law package signed Sept. 21, 2026 (energy, water, CEQA, ratepayers)

    Enacted

    State of California

    Governor Newsom signed seven data center bills: SB 887 ends CEQA categorical exemptions for data centers; AB 1577 requires energy-use disclosure at permitting and annual reporting to the Energy Commission; AB 2619 and AB 2469 require water-use estimates, annual water reports, and (from 2028) water-supply assessments and scarcity plans; SB 886 requires CPUC tariffs so data centers pay infrastructure and generation costs, with an early termination fee within 10 years of interconnection; AB 2383 requires tariffs with 10-year minimum payments and collateral; SB 1168 directs fair-share transmission and distribution cost recovery. Several tariff requirements are due by Jan. 1, 2028. This follows SB 57 (2025), which ordered a CPUC study of cost shifts. Summary is from a law firm analysis; check bill text before citing specifics.

    Signed
    2026-09-21
    Bills
    SB 887, AB 1577, AB 2619, AB 2469, SB 886, AB 2383, SB 1168
  • California AI workplace laws signed 2026 (SB 947 No Robo Bosses, SB 951 AI layoff WARN disclosure, AB 1883)

    Enacted

    State of California

    In late September 2026 Governor Newsom signed SB 947, which bars employers from relying solely on automated decision systems to discipline or fire workers and requires human corroboration and post-use notice (compliance date July 1, 2027), reversing his October 2025 veto of an earlier, broader version (SB 7). SB 951 requires Cal/WARN mass layoff notices to state when AI or automation substantially caused the layoff (effective Jan. 1, 2027), which will create a new public signal of AI-attributed layoffs. AB 1883 bars AI workplace surveillance that infers emotional states or collects neural data, and AB 1331 limits workplace surveillance in bathrooms (both Jan. 1, 2027).

    Sb 947 compliance date
    2027-07-01
    Sb 951 effective
    2027-01-01
    Ab 1883 effective
    2027-01-01

    As of Oct 19, 2026

  • California DMV rules allowing autonomous heavy-duty trucks approved

    Enacted

    State of California (affects Valley freight corridors such as SR-99 and I-5)

    On April 28, 2026 California's Office of Administrative Law approved DMV regulations allowing autonomous heavy-duty commercial vehicle operations, which had previously been excluded. Permits follow staged testing with safety drivers before driverless deployment. The DMV milestones page does not say whether any heavy-duty permits have been issued. Trucking and warehousing are large employers in the Valley, which is why this matters for the physical exposure dimension.

    Oal approval
    2026-04-28
    Heavy duty permits issued
    not reported

    As of Apr 28, 2026

  • City of Fresno uses AI tools without a formal AI policy

    Status unknown

    City of Fresno, CA

    Fresnoland reported in July 2026 that the city has no formal AI policy; the city manager said an informal policy exists and needs to become an administrative order. A city memo lists about two dozen allowed programs with AI features, including Madison AI for staff reports, Wordly AI for council meeting transcription and Spanish translation, Claude in the Information Services Department, Microsoft Copilot, and Axon software that drafts police reports (part of an $18.3 million five-year Axon contract). At a June 8, 2026 budget hearing a councilmember asked staff what AI costs the city.

    Formal policy
    none as of 2026-07-10
    Allowed ai programs listed
    about 24

    As of Jul 10, 2026

Workforce programs (3)

  • F3 (Fresno-Merced Future of Food) AgTEC farmworker ag-technology certificate

    Operating

    Fresno, Merced and surrounding Central Valley counties, CA

    The F3 coalition, led by the Central Valley Community Foundation, received $65.1 million from the federal Build Back Better Regional Challenge in 2022. Its AgTEC certificate trains incumbent farmworkers in 14 competencies including digital literacy and tool operation, in English and Spanish, at seven Central Valley community colleges; as of August 2024 it had launched at four of them, with cohorts of about 20 to 25. Reedley College students train on tractors and an autonomous rover. Partners include Fresno State, UC Merced, and farmworker organizations.

    Federal award (USD)
    65,100,000
    Community colleges
    7
    Competencies
    14

    As of Oct 9, 2024

  • Fresno State AI minor and certificate, Fresno City College AI course and public workshops

    Operating

    Fresno, CA

    Fresno State launched an AI minor open to any major starting fall 2026 (20 to 21 units) and offers an AI certificate for community members. Fresno State and Fresno City College co-ran free five-hour public AI workshops on June 6 and July 11, 2026, sponsored by Granville Homes. In 2025 the executive director of the Fresno Regional Workforce Development Board said the board was developing AI-related training programs.

    Ai minor units
    20-21
    Public workshops 2026
    2

    As of Jul 9, 2026

  • California statewide AI training agreements with Google, Adobe, IBM, and Microsoft

    Operating

    State of California (community colleges, CSU including Fresno State, high schools)

    On Aug. 7, 2025 the governor announced no-cost agreements with Google, Adobe, IBM, and Microsoft to provide AI training and tools to more than two million students across high schools, community colleges, and the CSU system, including IBM short-term certificates and regional AI labs in community college career education and Microsoft AI bootcamps for community college faculty. A CSU memorandum created an industry AI workforce acceleration board.

    Students reached claimed
    over 2 million
    Cost to state
    none (per announcement)

    As of Aug 7, 2025

Sources

Where every number on this page comes from, and how current it is.

Employment and wages
May 2025
Exposure measures
BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, national estimates: May 2025 (released 2026); Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (2023), "GPTs are GPTs", occupation-level exposure: 2023 paper (Science 2024); repo commit dated 2025-10-04; Felten, Raj, Seamans (2021), AI Occupational Exposure (AIOE), Data Appendix A: 2021 (Strategic Management Journal 42(12)); repo commit dated 2024-06-03; BLS SOC 2010 to SOC 2018 crosswalk: November 2017; O*NET Occupational Listings (taxonomy crosswalks, incl. O*NET-SOC 2010 to 2019): O*NET-SOC 2019 taxonomy (file dated 2019-12-04); O*NET 31.0 Database, Work Activities: O*NET 31.0; O*NET 31.0 Database, Work Context: O*NET 31.0; Webb (2020), "The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Labor Market", raw occupation exposure scores (final_df_out.dta): Data page "Version 0.1" raw scores (964 O*NET-SOC 2010 occupations, O*NET 22.0); paper working draft January 2020; Webb (2020), exposure percentiles by occ1990dd, v0.2 (exposure_by_occ1990dd_lswt2010.csv): Data page "Version 0.2"; Webb (2020), O*NET-SOC to occ1990dd crosswalk (onet_to_occ1990dd.dta): Data page "Version 0.1" crosswalks (Dorn occ1990dd as augmented by Deming); Anthropic Economic Index, release 2026-06-26 (Claude.ai, global, soc_occupation): Claude.ai conversations, April and May 2026 (release 2026-06-26)
Census survey
Not used for this metro
Profile generated
Nov 5, 2026